The current approach is absolute cardiovascular risk, not treatment of isolated numbers. The Australian CVD Risk Calculator estimates the risk of a cardiovascular event over the next 5 years.
- Who gets an absolute CVD risk assessment
- All people aged 45–79 years without known CVD.
- People with diabetes aged 35–79 years.
- Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people aged 30–79 years.
- In Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people aged 18–29 years, assess individual CVD risk factors rather than using the calculator.
- For expanded detail: ATSI Screening
- What goes into the calculator
- age
- sex
- smoking
- systolic BP
- total cholesterol:HDL ratio
- diabetes
- CVD medications
- postcode / socioeconomic disadvantage
- history of atrial fibrillation.
- In diabetes, additional variables include HbA1c, duration of diabetes, uACR, eGFR, BMI and insulin use.
- Risk categories
- Low: <5% five-year risk
- Intermediate: 5–<10%
- High: ≥10%
- Clinically determined high risk
- The old long list of automatic high-risk conditions has gone.
- There are now only two conditions that automatically confer high risk without using the calculator:
- moderate–severe CKD
- familial hypercholesterolaemia.
- Previous automatic categories such as diabetes ≥60 years, very high BP or cholesterol are no longer separate automatic high-risk categories under the current calculator.
- Refining the calculated risk
- If the result is near a treatment threshold, consider factors that may justify reclassification:
- ethnicity
- family history of premature CVD
- eGFR and uACR
- severe mental illness
- coronary artery calcium where appropriate.
- Premature family history means coronary heart disease or stroke in a:
- first-degree male relative <55 years, or
- first-degree female relative <65 years.
- If the result is near a treatment threshold, consider factors that may justify reclassification:
- Blood pressure
- Check BP opportunistically from age 18 years.
- In people aged 18–44 years without another indication, generally no more often than every 2 years.
- Confirm elevated BP with repeat measurements rather than diagnosing hypertension from a single reading.
- For expanded detail: Hypertension – Non-pharmacological Management · Cardiac Check-up
- How often to repeat CVD risk assessment
- For people aged 45–79 years, reassess approximately every 5 years if risk remains low and risk factors have not significantly changed.
- Reassess earlier if risk factors worsen or clinical circumstances change.
- The old shorthand of high yearly / medium 2-yearly / low 5-yearly is better removed; the current approach is individualised.
- Management
- Address modifiable risk:
- smoking
- nutrition
- physical activity
- healthy weight
- alcohol
- blood pressure
- lipids
- diabetes.
- High risk ≥10%: BP-lowering and lipid-modifying medication are generally recommended unless contraindicated or clinically inappropriate.
- Intermediate and low risk: management depends on absolute risk, individual risk factors and shared decision-making.
- For expanded detail: Smoking Cessation Medications · Cardiovascular Health
- Address modifiable risk:
- Lipids
- Measure lipids as part of overall CVD risk assessment.
- Do not manage cardiovascular risk by chasing isolated universal cholesterol targets.
- The old list:
- total cholesterol <4.0
- triglycerides <2.0
- HDL ≥1.0
- non-HDL <2.5
- LDL <2.0
- Current primary prevention management is driven principally by absolute CVD risk, with lipid lowering intensified according to risk and clinical context.
- Atrial fibrillation
- Opportunistically check pulse or cardiac rhythm in people aged ≥65 years.
- An irregular rhythm should be confirmed with ECG.
- For expanded detail: Atrial Fibrillation / Flutter
- Who does not need the calculator
- People with established atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease are already in secondary prevention.
- People with moderate–severe CKD or familial hypercholesterolaemia are already considered high risk.
- For expanded detail: Cardiac Check-up · Cardiovascular Health
Current Key Resources
- Australian CVD Risk Calculator
- Australian Guideline for assessing and managing cardiovascular disease risk
- RACGP – Red Book, 10th edition
The just the facts version:
- 18 → BP
- 30 → ATSI calculator
- 35 → diabetes calculator
- 45 → everyone calculator
- Risk Stratification
- <5% = Low risk
- 5-10% = Intermediate risk
- ≥10% = High risk
- Only CKD + FH bypass the calculator as primary-prevention high risk.